Predictions Locked
South Korea vs Czech Republic
World Cup · Friday, June 12, 2026
2:00 AM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
South Korea37%
Draw31%
Czech Republic31%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
South Korea37%
Draw32%
Czech Republic32%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Grok 3
The Contrarian
South Korea41%
Draw30%
Czech Republic29%
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
South Korea34%
Draw31%
Czech Republic35%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
South Korea34%
Draw33%
Czech Republic33%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
South Korea38%
Draw33%
Czech Republic29%
Predicted scoreline
1-01-1
14.3%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 1-0Gemini 3.1 Pro 1-0GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 1-0
Goal expectancy 2.40 per match (default — no totals market); split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. South Korea listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Odds Divergence Context
Market gives underdog >35% probability
Weights:
Grok 39% · GPT 26% · Claude 18% · Gemini 18%
Active: PC05 (Overconfidence Index)
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