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Tournament bracket

World Cup 2026 — 76 of 104 matches complete

Tournament progress73%
Ensemble Accuracy
64% correct
Brier Score
0.497
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Predicted bracket

Pre-tournament forecast from 5 AI models.

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Predicted tournament path

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Predicted champion
🇧🇷
Brazil
10.6% to win
🏆
vs predicted runner-up 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England (8.9%)
Final
2 teams
🇧🇷BRA10.6%
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG8.9%
Semi Finals
4 teams
🇧🇷BRA10.6%
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG8.9%
🇦🇷ARG8.7%
🇪🇸ESP7.4%
Quarter Finals
8 teams
🇧🇷BRA10.6%
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG8.9%
🇦🇷ARG8.7%
🇪🇸ESP7.4%
🇫🇷FRA7.2%
🇵🇹POR6.9%
🇳🇱NED5.5%
🇩🇪GER5.3%
Round of 16
16 teams
🇧🇷BRA10.6%
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG8.9%
🇦🇷ARG8.7%
🇪🇸ESP7.4%
🇫🇷FRA7.2%
🇵🇹POR6.9%
🇳🇱NED5.5%
🇩🇪GER5.3%
🇭🇷CRO3.9%
🇨🇴COL3.6%
🇧🇪BEL3.5%
🇲🇽MEX2.2%
🇺🇾URU2.2%
🏴NOR1.9%
🇨🇭SUI1.8%
🇸🇳SEN1.6%
Round of 32
32 teams
🇧🇷BRA10.6%
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG8.9%
🇦🇷ARG8.7%
🇪🇸ESP7.4%
🇫🇷FRA7.2%
🇵🇹POR6.9%
🇳🇱NED5.5%
🇩🇪GER5.3%
🇭🇷CRO3.9%
🇨🇴COL3.6%
🇧🇪BEL3.5%
🇲🇽MEX2.2%
🇺🇾URU2.2%
🏴NOR1.9%
🇨🇭SUI1.8%
🇸🇳SEN1.6%
🏴AUT1.5%
🏴ECU1.3%
🇯🇵JPN1.3%
🇲🇦MAR1.2%
🏴ALG1.2%
🏴TUR1.0%
🏴IRN0.9%
🇺🇸USA0.9%
🇨🇦CAN0.8%
🇰🇷KOR0.8%
🏴PAR0.6%
🏴SWE0.6%
🏴COD0.6%
🏴EGY0.6%
🏴CIV0.5%
🇦🇺AUS0.5%
Compare by model:

Group stage

Group A

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Mexico3+69
South Africa3-14
South Korea3-13
Czechia3-41

Group B

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Switzerland3+47
Canada3+54
Bosnia and Herzegovina3-14
Qatar3-81

Group C

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Brazil3+67
Morocco3+37
Scotland3-33
Haiti3-60

Group D

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
USA3+46
Australia304
Paraguay3-24
Turkiye3-23

Group E

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Germany3+66
Ivory Coast3+26
Ecuador304
Curacao3-81

Group F

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Netherlands3+67
Japan3+45
Sweden304
Tunisia3-100

Group G

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Belgium3+45
Egypt3+25
Iran303
New Zealand3-61

Group H

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Spain3+57
Cape Verde303
Uruguay3-12
Saudi Arabia3-42

Group I

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
France3+89
Norway3+16
Senegal3+23
Iraq3-110

Group J

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Argentina3+79
Austria304
Algeria3-24
Jordan3-50

Group K

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Colombia3+37
Portugal3+55
DR Congo3+14
Uzbekistan3-90

Group L

6/6 played
TeamPGDPts
England3+47
Croatia306
Ghana304
Panama3-40

Knockout stage

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