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Tournament bracket

World Cup 2026 — 29 of 104 matches complete

Tournament progress28%
Ensemble Accuracy
59% correct
Brier Score
0.576
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Predicted bracket

Pre-tournament forecast from 5 AI models.

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Predicted tournament path

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Predicted champion
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
England
9.5% to win
🏆
vs predicted runner-up 🇦🇷 Argentina (9.1%)
Final
2 teams
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG9.5%
🇦🇷ARG9.1%
Semi Finals
4 teams
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG9.5%
🇦🇷ARG9.1%
🇵🇹POR7.8%
🇩🇪GER6.5%
Quarter Finals
8 teams
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG9.5%
🇦🇷ARG9.1%
🇵🇹POR7.8%
🇩🇪GER6.5%
🇪🇸ESP6.4%
🇳🇱NED6.3%
🇫🇷FRA5.6%
🇨🇴COL4.3%
Round of 16
16 teams
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG9.5%
🇦🇷ARG9.1%
🇵🇹POR7.8%
🇩🇪GER6.5%
🇪🇸ESP6.4%
🇳🇱NED6.3%
🇫🇷FRA5.6%
🇨🇴COL4.3%
🇧🇷BRA4.0%
🇺🇾URU2.6%
🇭🇷CRO2.4%
🇨🇭SUI2.2%
🏴NOR2.0%
🇧🇪BEL1.9%
🏴ALG1.6%
🏴AUT1.6%
Round of 32
32 teams
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG9.5%
🇦🇷ARG9.1%
🇵🇹POR7.8%
🇩🇪GER6.5%
🇪🇸ESP6.4%
🇳🇱NED6.3%
🇫🇷FRA5.6%
🇨🇴COL4.3%
🇧🇷BRA4.0%
🇺🇾URU2.6%
🇭🇷CRO2.4%
🇨🇭SUI2.2%
🏴NOR2.0%
🇧🇪BEL1.9%
🏴ALG1.6%
🏴AUT1.6%
🏴ECU1.6%
🇲🇽MEX1.5%
🇲🇦MAR1.5%
🏴TUR1.5%
🇸🇳SEN1.4%
🇯🇵JPN1.3%
🇨🇦CAN1.3%
🇰🇷KOR1.1%
🏴IRN1.1%
🇺🇸USA1.0%
🏴PAR1.0%
🏴SWE0.9%
🏴EGY0.9%
🏴CZE0.9%
🇦🇺AUS0.8%
🏴CIV0.8%
Compare by model:

Group stage

Group A

4/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Mexico2+36
South Korea203
Czechia2-11
South Africa2-21

Group B

4/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Canada2+64
Switzerland2+34
Bosnia and Herzegovina2-31
Qatar2-61

Group C

2/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Scotland1+13
Brazil101
Morocco101
Haiti1-10

Group D

3/6 played
TeamPGDPts
USA2+56
Australia203
Turkiye1-20
Paraguay1-30

Group E

2/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Germany1+63
Ivory Coast1+13
Ecuador1-10
Curacao1-60

Group F

2/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Sweden1+43
Netherlands101
Japan101
Tunisia1-40

Group G

2/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Iran101
New Zealand101
Belgium101
Egypt101

Group H

2/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Saudi Arabia101
Uruguay101
Spain101
Cape Verde101

Group I

2/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Norway1+33
France1+23
Senegal1-20
Iraq1-30

Group J

2/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Argentina1+33
Austria1+23
Jordan1-20
Algeria1-30

Group K

2/6 played
TeamPGDPts
Colombia1+23
Portugal101
DR Congo101
Uzbekistan1-20

Group L

2/6 played
TeamPGDPts
England1+23
Ghana1+13
Panama1-10
Croatia1-20

Knockout stage

Brackets unlock as group winners are confirmed. Round of 32 begins June 28, 2026. Until then see the predicted bracket above for our pre-tournament forecast.
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