Predictions Locked
Portugal vs Uzbekistan
World Cup · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
5:00 PM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
View current leaderboard standings →Predictions Review
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Portugal82%
Draw12%
Uzbekistan6%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Portugal81%
Draw13%
Uzbekistan7%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Portugal78%
Draw14%
Uzbekistan8%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Portugal78%
Draw13%
Uzbekistan9%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Portugal86%
Draw10%
Uzbekistan4%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Portugal82%
Draw13%
Uzbekistan5%
Predicted scoreline
2-02-0
13.3%
3-0
12.3%
1-0
9.0%
4-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 2-0Gemini 3.1 Pro 2-0GPT-5.4 2-0Grok 3 2-0
Goal expectancy 3.37 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Portugal listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Odds Divergence Context
Market gives underdog >35% probability
Weights:
Grok 39% · GPT 26% · Claude 18% · Gemini 18%
Active: PC05 (Overconfidence Index)
Want Deeper Analysis?
Get predictions before each match with full divergence analysis, model fingerprint insights, and real-time updates.