Predictions Locked
Scotland vs Morocco
World Cup · Friday, June 19, 2026
10:00 PM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Scotland19%
Draw27%
Morocco54%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Scotland19%
Draw27%
Morocco54%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Scotland21%
Draw27%
Morocco52%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Scotland17%
Draw24%
Morocco59%
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Scotland21%
Draw27%
Morocco52%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Scotland18%
Draw28%
Morocco54%
Predicted scoreline
0-11-1
13.0%
0-1
12.8%
0-2
11.1%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
9.3%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-1Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-1GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 0-1
Goal expectancy 2.42 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Scotland listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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