Predictions Locked
Haiti vs Scotland
World Cup · Sunday, June 14, 2026
1:00 AM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Haiti16%
Draw22%
Scotland62%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Haiti16%
Draw22%
Scotland62%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Haiti18%
Draw22%
Scotland60%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Haiti15%
Draw25%
Scotland60%
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Haiti16%
Draw22%
Scotland62%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Haiti14%
Draw20%
Scotland66%
Predicted scoreline
0-10-1
14.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-1Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-1GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 0-1
Goal expectancy 2.40 per match (default — no totals market); split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Haiti listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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