Predictions Locked
Australia vs Turkey
World Cup · Sunday, June 14, 2026
4:00 AM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Australia21%
Draw26%
Turkey53%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Australia21%
Draw26%
Turkey53%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Australia20%
Draw26%
Turkey54%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Australia20%
Draw26%
Turkey54%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Australia23%
Draw28%
Turkey49%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Australia20%
Draw24%
Turkey56%
Predicted scoreline
0-11-1
13.1%
0-1
12.9%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-1Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-1GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 0-1
Goal expectancy 2.40 per match (default — no totals market); split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Australia listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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