Tunisia vs Japan
World Cup · Sunday, June 21, 2026
4:00 AM UTC
Kickoff in 1 day
MODEL CONSENSUS
0
pick Tunisia
0
pick Draw
4
pick Japan
All Six Predictions
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Favored outcome
Japan 59%
Tunisia16%
Draw25%
Japan59%
Model Weights
Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Tunisia16%
Draw25%
Japan59%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Tunisia17%
Draw25%
Japan58%
Grok 3Most divergent
The Contrarian
Tunisia19%
Draw26%
Japan55%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Tunisia13%
Draw25%
Japan62%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Tunisia15%
Draw23%
Japan62%
Predicted scoreline
0-10-1
13.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-1Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-1GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 0-1
Goal expectancy 2.50 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Tunisia listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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