New Zealand vs Egypt
World Cup · Monday, June 22, 2026
1:00 AM UTC
Kickoff in 2 days
MODEL CONSENSUS
0
pick New Zealand
0
pick Draw
4
pick Egypt
All Six Predictions
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Favored outcome
Egypt 60%
New Zealand17%
Draw24%
Egypt60%
Model Weights
Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
New Zealand17%
Draw24%
Egypt60%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
New Zealand16%
Draw25%
Egypt59%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
New Zealand16%
Draw23%
Egypt61%
Grok 3Most divergent
The Contrarian
New Zealand19%
Draw25%
Egypt56%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
New Zealand15%
Draw23%
Egypt62%
Predicted scoreline
0-10-1
13.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-1Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-1GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 0-1
Goal expectancy 2.46 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. New Zealand listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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