Predictions Locked
New Zealand vs Egypt
World Cup · Monday, June 22, 2026
1:00 AM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
New Zealand15%
Draw24%
Egypt62%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
New Zealand15%
Draw24%
Egypt62%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
New Zealand16%
Draw24%
Egypt60%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
New Zealand16%
Draw24%
Egypt60%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
New Zealand14%
Draw22%
Egypt63%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
New Zealand12%
Draw25%
Egypt63%
Predicted scoreline
0-10-1
13.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-1Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-1GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 0-1
Goal expectancy 2.51 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. New Zealand listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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