MBModelBall
Predictions Locked

Scotland vs Brazil

World Cup · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

10:00 PM UTC

Match completed

WHAT WE LEARNED

Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.

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Predictions Review

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Scotland10%
Draw18%
Brazil72%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

Scotland10%
Draw18%
Brazil72%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

Claude Sonnet 4.6

The Analyst

Scotland9%
Draw18%
Brazil73%

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The Generalist

Scotland8%
Draw16%
Brazil76%

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

Scotland11%
Draw18%
Brazil71%

Grok 3

The Contrarian

Scotland12%
Draw19%
Brazil69%

Predicted scoreline

0-2
0-2
14.2%
0-1
12.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-2Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-2GPT-5.4 0-2Grok 3 0-2

Goal expectancy 2.82 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Scotland listed first.

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

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