MBModelBall

South Africa vs South Korea

World Cup · Thursday, June 25, 2026

1:00 AM UTC

Kickoff in 5 days

MODEL CONSENSUS

0
pick South Africa
0
pick Draw
4
pick South Korea

All Six Predictions

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Favored outcome
South Korea 55%
South Africa19%
Draw27%
South Korea55%

Model Weights

Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

South Africa19%
Draw27%
South Korea55%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

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South Africa21%
Draw27%
South Korea52%

Grok 3

The Contrarian

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South Africa21%
Draw27%
South Korea52%

Claude Sonnet 4.6

The Analyst

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South Africa18%
Draw24%
South Korea58%

Gemini 3.1 ProMost divergent

The Generalist

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South Africa15%
Draw28%
South Korea57%

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

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