MBModelBall
Predictions Locked

South Africa vs South Korea

World Cup · Thursday, June 25, 2026

1:00 AM UTC

Match completed

WHAT WE LEARNED

Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.

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Predictions Review

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

South Africa19%
Draw26%
South Korea56%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

South Africa19%
Draw26%
South Korea56%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

Claude Sonnet 4.6

The Analyst

South Africa16%
Draw24%
South Korea60%

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

South Africa19%
Draw26%
South Korea55%

Grok 3

The Contrarian

South Africa21%
Draw27%
South Korea52%

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The Generalist

South Africa18%
Draw26%
South Korea56%

Predicted scoreline

0-1
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.8%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-1Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-1GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 0-1

Goal expectancy 2.57 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. South Africa listed first.

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

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