Ecuador vs Germany
World Cup · Thursday, June 25, 2026
8:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 5 days
MODEL CONSENSUS
0
pick Ecuador
0
pick Draw
4
pick Germany
All Six Predictions
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Favored outcome
Germany 56%
Ecuador19%
Draw25%
Germany56%
Model Weights
Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Ecuador19%
Draw25%
Germany56%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Ecuador21%
Draw25%
Germany54%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Ecuador18%
Draw27%
Germany55%
Claude Sonnet 4.6Most divergent
The Analyst
Ecuador17%
Draw24%
Germany59%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Ecuador19%
Draw25%
Germany56%
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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