Predictions Locked
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
World Cup · Thursday, June 25, 2026
8:00 PM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Curaçao6%
Draw14%
Ivory Coast80%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Curaçao6%
Draw14%
Ivory Coast80%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Curaçao7%
Draw14%
Ivory Coast79%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Curaçao7%
Draw14%
Ivory Coast79%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Curaçao6%
Draw14%
Ivory Coast80%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Curaçao5%
Draw12%
Ivory Coast83%
Predicted scoreline
0-20-2
12.6%
0-3
11.5%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
0-4
7.8%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-2Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-2GPT-5.4 0-2Grok 3 0-2
Goal expectancy 3.40 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Curaçao listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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