MBModelBall

Turkey vs USA

World Cup · Friday, June 26, 2026

2:00 AM UTC

Kickoff in 6 days

MODEL CONSENSUS

0
pick Turkey
0
pick Draw
4
pick USA

All Six Predictions

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Favored outcome
USA 39%
Turkey34%
Draw27%
USA39%

Model Weights

Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

Turkey34%
Draw27%
USA39%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The Generalist

Fingerprint →
Turkey35%
Draw28%
USA37%

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

Fingerprint →
Turkey32%
Draw28%
USA40%

Grok 3

The Contrarian

Fingerprint →
Turkey35%
Draw28%
USA37%

Claude Sonnet 4.6Most divergent

The Analyst

Fingerprint →
Turkey32%
Draw25%
USA43%

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

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