Paraguay vs Australia
World Cup · Friday, June 26, 2026
2:00 AM UTC
Kickoff in 6 days
MODEL CONSENSUS
4
pick Paraguay
0
pick Draw
0
pick Australia
All Six Predictions
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Favored outcome
Paraguay 40%
Paraguay40%
Draw30%
Australia29%
Model Weights
Grok 3: 39%GPT-5.4: 26%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 18%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 18%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Paraguay41%
Draw30%
Australia30%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Paraguay39%
Draw31%
Australia30%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Paraguay41%
Draw32%
Australia27%
Claude Sonnet 4.6Most divergent
The Analyst
Paraguay41%
Draw27%
Australia32%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Paraguay41%
Draw30%
Australia29%
Ensemble Logic
Odds Divergence Context
Market gives underdog >35% probability
Weights:
Grok 39% · GPT 26% · Claude 18% · Gemini 18%
Active: PC05 (Overconfidence Index)
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