Predictions Locked
Norway vs France
World Cup · Friday, June 26, 2026
7:00 PM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Norway19%
Draw23%
France59%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Norway19%
Draw23%
France59%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Norway18%
Draw22%
France60%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Norway18%
Draw22%
France60%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Norway19%
Draw24%
France57%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Norway19%
Draw22%
France59%
Predicted scoreline
1-21-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
0-1
7.2%
1-3
7.0%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 1-2Gemini 3.1 Pro 1-2GPT-5.4 1-2Grok 3 1-2
Goal expectancy 3.26 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Norway listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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