MBModelBall

Norway vs France

World Cup · Friday, June 26, 2026

7:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 6 days

MODEL CONSENSUS

0
pick Norway
0
pick Draw
4
pick France

All Six Predictions

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Favored outcome
France 56%
Norway21%
Draw24%
France56%

Model Weights

Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

Norway21%
Draw24%
France56%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The Generalist

Fingerprint →
Norway18%
Draw22%
France60%

Claude Sonnet 4.6

The Analyst

Fingerprint →
Norway20%
Draw23%
France57%

Grok 3Most divergent

The Contrarian

Fingerprint →
Norway23%
Draw25%
France52%

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

Fingerprint →
Norway21%
Draw24%
France55%

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

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