Senegal vs Iraq
World Cup · Friday, June 26, 2026
7:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 6 days
MODEL CONSENSUS
4
pick Senegal
0
pick Draw
0
pick Iraq
All Six Predictions
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Favored outcome
Senegal 72%
Senegal72%
Draw19%
Iraq9%
Model Weights
Grok 3: 39%GPT-5.4: 26%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 18%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 18%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Senegal71%
Draw20%
Iraq10%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Senegal68%
Draw20%
Iraq12%
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Senegal68%
Draw21%
Iraq11%
Grok 3Most divergent
The Contrarian
Senegal76%
Draw17%
Iraq7%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Senegal70%
Draw20%
Iraq10%
Ensemble Logic
Odds Divergence Context
Market gives underdog >35% probability
Weights:
Grok 39% · GPT 26% · Claude 18% · Gemini 18%
Active: PC05 (Overconfidence Index)
Want Deeper Analysis?
Get predictions before each match with full divergence analysis, model fingerprint insights, and real-time updates.