Uruguay vs Spain
World Cup · Saturday, June 27, 2026
12:00 AM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Fingerprint Analysis
Once the match is scored, we'll validate whether the fingerprint correctly predicted model accuracy. This is how we prove (or disprove) that knowing biases helps prediction.
Predicted scoreline
0-1Goal expectancy 2.43 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Uruguay listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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