MBModelBall

Uruguay vs Spain

World Cup · Saturday, June 27, 2026

12:00 AM UTC

Kickoff in 6 days

MODEL CONSENSUS

0
pick Uruguay
0
pick Draw
4
pick Spain

All Six Predictions

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Favored outcome
Spain 55%
Uruguay20%
Draw25%
Spain55%

Model Weights

Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

Uruguay20%
Draw25%
Spain55%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

Fingerprint →
Uruguay19%
Draw25%
Spain56%

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The Generalist

Fingerprint →
Uruguay22%
Draw26%
Spain52%

Grok 3

The Contrarian

Fingerprint →
Uruguay22%
Draw27%
Spain51%

Claude Sonnet 4.6Most divergent

The Analyst

Fingerprint →
Uruguay18%
Draw23%
Spain59%

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

Want Deeper Analysis?

Get predictions before each match with full divergence analysis, model fingerprint insights, and real-time updates.