Predictions Locked
Egypt vs Iran
World Cup · Saturday, June 27, 2026
3:00 AM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
View current leaderboard standings →Predictions Review
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Egypt39%
Draw35%
Iran26%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Egypt38%
Draw35%
Iran27%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Egypt38%
Draw36%
Iran26%
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Egypt36%
Draw34%
Iran30%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Egypt41%
Draw36%
Iran23%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Egypt38%
Draw35%
Iran27%
Predicted scoreline
1-01-1
14.7%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
13.3%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 1-0Gemini 3.1 Pro 1-0GPT-5.4 1-0Grok 3 1-0
Goal expectancy 2.06 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Egypt listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Odds Divergence Context
Market gives underdog >35% probability
Weights:
Grok 39% · GPT 26% · Claude 18% · Gemini 18%
Active: PC05 (Overconfidence Index)
Want Deeper Analysis?
Get predictions before each match with full divergence analysis, model fingerprint insights, and real-time updates.