Predictions Locked
New Zealand vs Belgium
World Cup · Saturday, June 27, 2026
3:00 AM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
New Zealand7%
Draw14%
Belgium79%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
New Zealand7%
Draw14%
Belgium79%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
New Zealand8%
Draw15%
Belgium77%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
New Zealand8%
Draw15%
Belgium77%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
New Zealand6%
Draw13%
Belgium81%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
New Zealand7%
Draw13%
Belgium80%
Predicted scoreline
0-20-2
9.7%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
0-4
7.0%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-3Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-2GPT-5.4 0-2Grok 3 0-2
Goal expectancy 3.80 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. New Zealand listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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