MBModelBall

New Zealand vs Belgium

World Cup · Saturday, June 27, 2026

3:00 AM UTC

Kickoff in 7 days

MODEL CONSENSUS

0
pick New Zealand
0
pick Draw
4
pick Belgium

All Six Predictions

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Favored outcome
Belgium 78%
New Zealand7%
Draw15%
Belgium78%

Model Weights

Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

New Zealand7%
Draw15%
Belgium78%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

Fingerprint →
New Zealand8%
Draw17%
Belgium75%

Claude Sonnet 4.6

The Analyst

Fingerprint →
New Zealand7%
Draw15%
Belgium78%

Grok 3

The Contrarian

Fingerprint →
New Zealand9%
Draw15%
Belgium76%

Gemini 3.1 ProMost divergent

The Generalist

Fingerprint →
New Zealand5%
Draw12%
Belgium83%

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

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