Predictions Locked
Panama vs England
World Cup · Saturday, June 27, 2026
9:00 PM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Panama6%
Draw12%
England82%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Panama6%
Draw12%
England82%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Panama5%
Draw10%
England85%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Panama7%
Draw15%
England78%
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Panama7%
Draw13%
England80%
GPT-5.5
The Evolved Baseline
Panama6%
Draw12%
England82%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Panama5%
Draw11%
England84%
Predicted scoreline
0-20-2
12.5%
0-3
11.8%
0-4
8.3%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-2Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-2GPT-5.4 0-2GPT-5.5 0-2Grok 3 0-2
Goal expectancy 3.47 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Panama listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 20% · GPT 20% · gpt55 20% · Claude 20% · Gemini 20%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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