Algeria vs Austria
World Cup · Sunday, June 28, 2026
2:00 AM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
GPT-5.5
The Evolved Baseline
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Fingerprint Analysis
Once the match is scored, we'll validate whether the fingerprint correctly predicted model accuracy. This is how we prove (or disprove) that knowing biases helps prediction.
Predicted scoreline
0-1Goal expectancy 1.89 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Algeria listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 20% · GPT 20% · gpt55 20% · Claude 20% · Gemini 20%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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