Predictions Locked
Jordan vs Argentina
World Cup · Sunday, June 28, 2026
2:00 AM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Jordan5%
Draw11%
Argentina83%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Jordan5%
Draw11%
Argentina83%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Jordan5%
Draw12%
Argentina83%
GPT-5.5
The Evolved Baseline
Jordan5%
Draw12%
Argentina83%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Jordan7%
Draw13%
Argentina80%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Jordan4%
Draw10%
Argentina86%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Jordan5%
Draw10%
Argentina85%
Predicted scoreline
0-20-2
14.1%
0-3
13.1%
0-1
9.7%
0-4
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-2Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-2GPT-5.4 0-2GPT-5.5 0-2Grok 3 0-2
Goal expectancy 3.31 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Jordan listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 20% · GPT 20% · gpt55 20% · Claude 20% · Gemini 20%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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