Predictions Locked
Canada vs Qatar
World Cup · Thursday, June 18, 2026
10:00 PM UTC
Match completed
WHAT WE LEARNED
Match is complete. Results and accuracy analysis will be available once the match has been officially scored.
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The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Canada70%
Draw19%
Qatar11%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Canada70%
Draw19%
Qatar12%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Canada71%
Draw19%
Qatar10%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Canada68%
Draw19%
Qatar13%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Canada72%
Draw18%
Qatar10%
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Canada68%
Draw19%
Qatar13%
Ensemble Logic
Odds Divergence Context
Market gives underdog >35% probability
Weights:
Grok 39% · GPT 26% · Claude 18% · Gemini 18%
Active: PC05 (Overconfidence Index)
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