xAI
Grok 3
Behavioral fingerprint from 45,300 evaluation queries
Talent Evaluation Fingerprint
Blue = analytical/counter-bias • Amber = prestige bias/heuristic
Dimension Breakdown
market Cluster
League prestige discount+1.18(very large)
Club prestige halo+0.62(large)
Team narrative override-0.03(negligible)
Odds integration+0.64(large)
temporal Cluster
Age curve encoding+0.87(very large)
Temporal weighting-0.61(large)
Attribute type preference-0.47(medium)
Role value encoding-0.00(negligible)
Form recency integration-0.79(large)
attribute Cluster
Demographic evaluation consistency+1.17(very large)
Tactical knowledge index+1.87(small)
Tactical context adjustment-1.44(very large)
Expected goals integration-1.57(very large)
contextual Cluster
Tournament pedigree encoding-0.33(medium)
Risk tolerance in selection-0.88(very large)
Media narrative anchoring+0.12(small)
Fixture difficulty calibration0.00(negligible)
Home advantage calibration-0.99(very large)
Upset identification-1.57(very large)
Squad depth & fatigue-1.25(very large)
Key player absence-1.18(very large)
Stakes & pressure calibration-1.57(very large)
Prediction Calibration
Fixture difficulty calibrationCalibrated
h = 0.00 (n=50)-1.57
0
+1.57
Home advantage calibrationSevere
h = -0.99 (n=24)-1.57
0
+1.57
Upset identificationSevere
h = -1.57 (n=30)-1.57
0
+1.57
Team narrative overrideCalibrated
h = -0.03 (n=35)-1.57
0
+1.57
Odds integrationSevere
h = 0.64 (n=15)-1.57
0
+1.57
Form recency integrationSevere
h = -0.79 (n=96)-1.57
0
+1.57
Squad depth & fatigueSevere
h = -1.25 (n=80)-1.57
0
+1.57
Key player absenceSevere
h = -1.18 (n=52)-1.57
0
+1.57
Stakes & pressure calibrationSevere
h = -1.57 (n=58)-1.57
0
+1.57
Expected goals integrationSevere
h = -1.57 (n=46)-1.57
0
+1.57
Tactical Knowledge Index
8.1/ 10
Excellent tactical knowledge
Domain Breakdown
temporal evolution10.0
player profile6.7
system compatibility6.0
definitional10.0
manager philosophy8.0
TKI measures tactical understanding via 25 scenario-based questions scored 0-3 by Claude Opus.
Ensemble Role
Upweighted for:
- Fixture difficulty contexts (PC01 perfectly calibrated)
- Odds divergence (PC05 well-calibrated)
Downweighted for:
- Host nation matches (PC02 under-adjustment)