MBModelBall

Colombia vs Portugal

World Cup · Saturday, June 27, 2026

11:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 8 days

MODEL CONSENSUS

0
pick Colombia
0
pick Draw
4
pick Portugal

All Six Predictions

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Favored outcome
Portugal 43%
Colombia28%
Draw28%
Portugal43%

Model Weights

Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

Colombia28%
Draw28%
Portugal43%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

Fingerprint →
Colombia29%
Draw28%
Portugal43%

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The Generalist

Fingerprint →
Colombia28%
Draw30%
Portugal42%

Grok 3

The Contrarian

Fingerprint →
Colombia31%
Draw29%
Portugal40%

Claude Sonnet 4.6Most divergent

The Analyst

Fingerprint →
Colombia26%
Draw27%
Portugal47%

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

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