Egypt vs Iran
World Cup · Saturday, June 27, 2026
3:00 AM UTC
Kickoff in 7 days
grok shows calibration differences on Team narrative override
Relevant dimension: Team narrative override
MODEL CONSENSUS
All Six Predictions
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Model Weights
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Grok 3Most divergent
The Contrarian
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Why They Differ
Tracks whether predictions reflect absorbed historical narrative rather than current form data.
The Edge ensemble uses this fingerprint information to adjust model weights. After the match, we'll validate whether the fingerprint correctly predicted which model would be most accurate.
Ensemble Logic
Odds Divergence Context
Market gives underdog >35% probability
Weights:
Grok 48% · GPT 31% · Claude 21%
Active: PC05 (Overconfidence Index)
Want Deeper Analysis?
Get predictions before each match with full divergence analysis, model fingerprint insights, and real-time updates.