MBModelBall
Predictions Locked

Scotland vs Morocco

World Cup · Friday, June 19, 2026

10:00 PM UTC

Match completed

MODEL CONSENSUS

0
pick Scotland
0
pick Draw
4
pick Morocco

All Six Predictions

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Favored outcome
Morocco 54%
Scotland19%
Draw27%
Morocco54%

Model Weights

Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

Scotland19%
Draw27%
Morocco54%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

Grok 3

The Contrarian

Fingerprint →
Scotland21%
Draw27%
Morocco52%

Claude Sonnet 4.6Most divergent

The Analyst

Fingerprint →
Scotland17%
Draw24%
Morocco59%

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

Fingerprint →
Scotland21%
Draw27%
Morocco52%

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The Generalist

Fingerprint →
Scotland18%
Draw28%
Morocco54%

Predicted scoreline

0-1
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-1Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-1GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 0-1

Goal expectancy 2.40 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Scotland listed first.

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

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